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Prediction for CME (2022-03-10T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-03-10T02:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19397/-1
CME Note: Visible in the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and as a southward halo in STEREO A COR2. Associated with a filament eruption centered near S40E50, visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195/304 beginning 2022-03-09T21:30Z. Second of a 2-CME eruption from this filament.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-12T23:32Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 0.0%
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2022-03-10 02:00:00
Source Longtitude: -50
Source Latitude:  -40
Initial Shock Speed:  452 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  400 km/s
Duration Time: 0.5 hrs

Output results: The shock will not reach the Earth!

Lead Time: -2.82 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2022-03-13T02:21Z

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